How do I use the Rule of 70?
my percentage growth is 2%. Now do i put that in for percentage growth rate so that it shows up as
70/2=doubling time in years?
I have to use the rule of 70 to calculate how many years it would take for the population of a country to double if it was growing at 2% per year.
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When the interest is compounded k times per year, with i / 100 replaced by r and A/P = 2, the formula you have becomes:
2 = (1 + r/k)^(kt)
Expanding the RHS using the binomial theorem gives:
2 = 1 + (kt)(r/k) + (kt)(kt – 1) (r/k)^2 / 2!
+ (kt)(kt – 1)(kt – 2) (r/k) / 3! + …
2 = 1 + tr + t(t – 1/k)(r^2 / 2!) + t(t – 1/k)(t – 2/k)(r^3 / 3!) + …
As k tends to infinity, 1/k tends to 0, and this becomes:
2 = 1 + tr + (tr)^2 / 2! + (tr)^3 / 3! + …
The RHS of this formula is the power series for e^(rt).
Hence:
2 = e^(rt)
rt = log(base e) 2
t = [ log(base e)2 ] / r
t = 0.6913 / r
Substituting 100i back for r:
t = 69.13 / i
but I don’t really see the justification for 70.
However this is the basis of the derivation in the link below, where at the end the article just says ’70 is close enough’
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