Increase of Salary of Teachers
4.1
4.
(a)
Paying teachers more does not cause the cost of prescription drugs, there might be a positive correlation and at the same time a strong correlation but this is caused by the lurking variables, this are unknown variables that will lead to strong relationship. Therefore the strong relationship between teachers pay and prescription drug cost does not mean teachers pay lead to an increase in the cost of prescription drugs, however this is a result of other variables other than teachers pay and this variables are referred to as lurking variables.
(b)
Lurking variables that may be causing the high correlation between teachers pay and prescription drugs will include inflation that is caused due to increased pay to the teachers, other variables may include higher demand for prescription drugs that lead to increase in their prices.
8.
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Increase of Salary of Teachers
(a)
(b)
The data portrays a strong negative correlation. This means that there is a strong negative correlation between variables. Negative correlation means that when one variable increases then we expect the other variable to be declining
(c)
X
Y
X
Y
XY
2
2
2/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
3
40
9
1600
120
7
35
49
1225
245
3/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
15
30
225
900
450
35
25
1225
625
4/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
875
75
18
5625
324
1350
TOTAL
135
148
7133
5/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
4674
3040
R = n ∑xy – (∑x)(∑y)
____________________________
(n ∑ x2 – (∑ x)2 )½ (n∑ y2 – (∑y)2)½
R = |
5 (3040) – (135)( 148) |
____________________________
(5 (7133)– (135)2 )½ (5(4674) – (148)2)½
6/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
R = -0.94534
From the results of the correlation coefficient it is clear that the variables have a strong negative relationship, the negative relationship means that as the value of x increases then the value of Y will decline, this is due to their negative relationship given by the correlation coefficient.
12.
(a)
(b)
The correlation is moderate. However the correlation is positive as depicted by the scatter diagram.
(c)
X
Y
7/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
X
Y
XY
2
2
12.5
26
156.25
676
325
30
8/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
73
900
5329
2190
24.5
39
600.25
1521
955.5
9/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
14.3
23
204.49
529
328.9
7.5
15
56.25
225
112.5
10/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
27.7
30
767.29
900
831
16.2
15
262.44
225
11/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
243
20.1
25
404.01
625
502.5
total
152.8
246
3350.98
12/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
10030
5488.4
R = n ∑xy – (∑x)(∑y)
____________________________
(n ∑ x2 – (∑ x)2 )½ (n∑ y2 – (∑y)2)½
R = |
8 (5488.4) – (152.8)( 246) |
____________________________
(8 (3350.98)– (152.8)2 )½ (8(10030) – (246)2)½
R = 0.764842
From the results of our calculated r it is clear that there is a moderate positive correlation
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Increase of Salary of Teachers
between the two variables, therefore an increase in x will result into an increase in Y.
16.
(a) r = 0.820 significant at the a = 0.01 level sample size n = 7 and n = 9
n
α
critical value
r
significance
7
0.01
0.87
14/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
0.82
insignificant
9
0.01
0.8
0.82
significant
When we consider the sample size which is 7 then we conclude that the correlation coefficient is not significant because the value from the table is greater than our calculated correlation, when we consider a larger sample size where n = 9 then we conclude that the correlation coefficient is significant where the value from the table is less than the value calculated for correlation.
15/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
(b) r = 0.40, a = 0.05 level sample size n = 20 data pairs and n = 27
n
α
critical value
r
significance
20
0.05
0.44
0.4
insignificant
16/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
27
0.05
0.38
0.4
significant
When we consider the sample size 20 then we conclude that the correlation coefficient is not significant because the value from the table is greater than our calculated correlation, when we consider a larger sample size where n = 27 then we conclude that the correlation coefficient is significant where the value from the table is less than the value calculated for correlation.
(c)
For r value to be significant then we have to consider the value of r and also the level of test and the value they provide at the test level, when our r value is greater than the critical value given then r is significant but if it is less then our r is not significant. However from our above examples the greater the sample size then the more significant our r will be, therefore when we
17/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
use a larger sample size the higher the possibility that the r value will be significant.
4.2
4.
(a)
(b)
x
y
x2
y2
18/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
xy
0
50
0
2500
0
2
43
4
19/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
1849
86
5
33
25
1089
165
6
26
20/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
36
676
156
total
13
152
65
6114
407
21/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
R = n ∑xy – (∑x)(∑y)
____________________________
(n ∑ x2 – (∑ x)2 )½ (n∑ y2 – (∑y)2)½
R = |
4 (407) – (13)( 152) |
____________________________
(4 (65)– (13)2 )½ (4(6114) – (152)2)½
R= -0.99213
(c)
Y = a + b X
B = n ∑xy – (∑x)(∑y)
______________________
22/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
n ∑ x2 – (∑ x)2
B = |
4 (407) – (13)(152) |
______________________
4 (65) – (13)2
B = -3.82
A = y’ – x’b
A = 50.42
Y = 50.42 – 3.82 X
(d)
Regression line:
23/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
(e)
R2 correlation of determination:
R2 = 0.98
This means that 98% of variations in Y can be explained by X, however 1.2% variations in Y is not explained by X.
(f)
If x = 4 then Y = 35.13187
6.
(a)
(b)
24/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
x
y
x2
y2
xy
37
5
1369
25
185
25/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
47
8
2209
64
376
57
10
3249
100
570
26/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
67
16
4489
256
1072
77
30
5929
900
27/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
2310
87
43
7569
1849
3741
total
372
112
24814
28/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
3194
8254
mean
62
18.66667
29/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
R = |
6 (8254) – (372)( 112) |
____________________________
(6 (24814) – (372)2 )½ (6(3194) – (112)2)½
R = 0.942755
(c)
Y = a + b X
B = |
6 (8254) – (372)( 112) |
______________________
6 (24814) – (372)2
B = 0.748
A = y’ – x’b
A = -27.74
30/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
Y = -27.74 + 0.748 X
(d)
(e)
R2 correlation of determination:
R2 = 0.8887
This means that 88.87% of variations in Y can be explained by X, however 11.13% variations in Y is not explained by X.
(f)
If x = 70 then our y will be 24.65524, this is in reference to our estimated regression model.
Chapter review:
2.
31/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
(a)
(b)
x
y
x2
y2
xy
4
33
16
32/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
1089
132
7
37
49
1369
259
5
34
33/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
25
1156
170
6
32
36
1024
192
1
34/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
32
1
1024
32
5
38
25
1444
190
35/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
9
43
81
1849
387
10
37
100
1369
370
36/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
10
40
100
1600
400
3
33
9
1089
37/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
99
total
60
359
442
13013
2231
mean
6
35.9
38/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
Y = a + b X
B = |
10 (2231) – (60)(359) |
____________________
10 (442) – (60)2
B = 0.939
A = y’ – x’b
A = 30.26585366
Y = 30.26 + 0.939X
Regression line:
(c)
39/40
Increase of Salary of Teachers
Correlation coefficient r = 0.760856
Correlation of determination = 0.5789
Therefore 57.89% of variations in Y are explained by x, while 42.11% of variations in Y are not explained by X.
(d)
X = 2
Using the regression estimates then the value of annual salary(Y) predicted by the regression is 32.1439
References:
A. Bluman (2001) Elementary Statistics: AStep by Step Approach, McGraw Hill publishers, New York
40/40
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